Fed 2026 stress tests warn of a 54% stock crash from an AI bubble burst and stagflation risks; the baseline sees weak S&P 500 ...

Fund managers still see “trade war triggers a global recession” as their biggest “tail risk,” according to BofA’s July Global Fund Manager Survey. The survey showed that 38% of global fund managers ...

A U.S. attack on Iran seems imminent, and if the objective is regime change, there could be a prolonged spike in oil prices, which could cause a global recession. The current situation is more complex ...

A sharp correction in equity markets would weigh on global activity, but by itself is unlikely to push the world into recession, according to fresh research from Capital Economics. In a note published ...

Concerns that President Trump's April "Liberation Day" tariffs could trigger a global recession have eased dramatically, according to Bank of America's latest survey of fund managers. Some key ...