Typically in times of geopolitical turmoil, analysts look to the past for precedents and templates, but history is ...

With the S&P 500 already trading at a rich valuation, rising oil prices could trigger a sharp decline in the stock market.

The S&P 500 typically declined during the first year of the 10 recessions that have occurred since 1957. However, the index was usually significantly higher five years and 10 years after the start of ...

Goldman Sachs lifted its 12-month US recession probability to 25 percent, up five points from January.

Decades of oil shocks offer clues to how markets behave when geopolitical tensions hit energy flows -- and whether the shock ultimately tips the economy into recession often depends on how the Federal ...

Most economists don't expect the U.S. economy will enter a recession in 2026. J.P. Morgan (NYSE: JPM) Global Research projects the likelihood of a recession this year at only 35%. The Federal Reserve ...