The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.

After extensive simulations, our model gives Lucie Havlickova a win probability of 47%, while Katie Boulter has a win probability of 53%. This data suggests a competitive matchup, with Boulter ...

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

Most near-Earth asteroids are thought to drift in from the main asteroid belt. But a small subset may have a much closer origin: the moon. One intriguing example is 469219 Kamoʻoalewa (2016 HO3), an ...

Treasury yield curve outlook: 3‑month T‑bill most likely 1–2% in 10 years; 2y/10y spread turns positive. See inversion odds ...

The 2023 Royals won 56 games. The 2024 Royals won 86 and made the playoffs. Sure, having a generational star like Bobby Witt Jr. coming into his own played a key role in that. But as has been written ...

The idea that reality might be a kind of cosmic software has shifted from late-night dorm debate to a live question in ...

In one day, 433 people won the Philippine lottery jackpot. What were the chances? On October 1, 2022, something strange ...

Nvidia’s new AI system, Alpamayo, could prove a major step to making autonomous cars a common sight on our roads.

A poker simulator enables structured poker practice using data-driven scenarios, odds tracking and solver feedback to improve decisions without risking money.

Monte Carlo simulation of 10,000 paths shows 60% of scenarios place XRP between $1.04 and $3.40 by December 2026. The median outcome is $1.88 while only 10% of scenarios exceed $5.90. Downside tail ...